Pre-tourney Rankings
Central Florida
American Athletic
2016-17
Overall
Predictive Rating+8.0#68
Expected Predictive Rating+7.8#71
Pace62.7#295
Improvement-4.3#334

Offense
Total Offense-0.2#170
First Shot-0.7#195
After Offensive Rebound+0.5#132
Layup/Dunks+0.4#162
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.2#290
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#162
Freethrows+0.9#122
Improvement-0.2#192

Defense
Total Defense+8.1#21
First Shot+6.0#33
After Offensive Rebounds+2.1#12
Layups/Dunks+5.6#12
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#248
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.2#280
Freethrows+3.6#16
Improvement-4.2#336
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.8% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 1.8% n/a n/a
Average Seed 11.9 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four1.8% n/a n/a
First Round0.6% n/a n/a
Second Round0.1% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 14, 2016 318   Nicholls St. W 80-56 96%     1 - 0 +11.0 -2.0 +12.3
  Nov 17, 2016 86   Mississippi St. W 86-61 59%     2 - 0 +30.6 +17.5 +13.3
  Nov 18, 2016 93   @ College of Charleston W 60-40 52%     3 - 0 +27.4 +2.8 +28.1
  Nov 20, 2016 2   Villanova L 57-67 10%     3 - 1 +12.1 +0.5 +10.5
  Nov 26, 2016 267   Seattle W 67-51 93%     4 - 1 +6.9 -5.5 +12.7
  Nov 30, 2016 322   Stetson W 81-45 97%     5 - 1 +22.7 -2.6 +24.8
  Dec 03, 2016 150   @ Massachusetts W 65-62 68%     6 - 1 +6.2 -2.8 +9.0
  Dec 10, 2016 325   Maryland Eastern Shore W 76-58 97%     7 - 1 +4.5 +0.7 +4.9
  Dec 12, 2016 177   Penn L 49-58 85%     7 - 2 -12.2 -14.3 +0.5
  Dec 15, 2016 113   @ George Washington L 59-74 59%     7 - 3 -9.4 -2.6 -9.3
  Dec 18, 2016 274   Miami (OH) W 80-73 OT 94%     8 - 3 -2.4 -0.5 -2.5
  Dec 21, 2016 340   Bethune-Cookman W 71-41 98%     9 - 3 +12.4 +3.7 +14.7
  Dec 28, 2016 223   @ Tulane W 85-72 81%     10 - 3 1 - 0 +11.7 +11.2 +0.5
  Dec 31, 2016 107   Temple W 77-53 75%     11 - 3 2 - 0 +25.0 +8.3 +17.9
  Jan 03, 2017 159   East Carolina W 48-45 83%     12 - 3 3 - 0 +0.9 -19.1 +20.1
  Jan 08, 2017 84   @ Connecticut L 49-64 49%     12 - 4 3 - 1 -6.7 -8.9 -0.4
  Jan 14, 2017 53   Houston W 77-70 52%     13 - 4 4 - 1 +14.5 +13.4 +1.7
  Jan 17, 2017 279   South Florida W 86-64 94%     14 - 4 5 - 1 +12.1 +10.2 +1.9
  Jan 22, 2017 92   @ Memphis L 65-70 52%     14 - 5 5 - 2 +2.4 +0.7 +1.3
  Jan 25, 2017 13   SMU L 60-65 24%     14 - 6 5 - 3 +10.2 -1.2 +10.9
  Jan 28, 2017 126   @ Tulsa L 66-77 63%     14 - 7 5 - 4 -6.5 -0.1 -7.0
  Feb 01, 2017 53   @ Houston L 64-82 33%     14 - 8 5 - 5 -5.4 +0.6 -7.1
  Feb 04, 2017 92   Memphis W 72-57 71%     15 - 8 6 - 5 +17.3 +7.8 +11.0
  Feb 08, 2017 24   @ Cincinnati L 50-60 17%     15 - 9 6 - 6 +8.0 -5.5 +12.1
  Feb 11, 2017 84   Connecticut L 63-66 68%     15 - 10 6 - 7 +0.3 +3.7 -3.9
  Feb 14, 2017 126   Tulsa W 71-53 79%     16 - 10 7 - 7 +17.4 +9.5 +10.7
  Feb 18, 2017 159   @ East Carolina W 61-58 69%     17 - 10 8 - 7 +6.0 -0.3 +6.6
  Feb 22, 2017 107   @ Temple W 71-69 58%     18 - 10 9 - 7 +8.0 +11.2 -2.9
  Feb 26, 2017 24   Cincinnati W 53-49 32%     19 - 10 10 - 7 +17.0 -2.5 +20.2
  Mar 02, 2017 279   @ South Florida W 59-56 88%     20 - 10 11 - 7 -1.9 -11.9 +10.2
  Mar 10, 2017 92   Memphis W 84-54 62%     21 - 10 +34.9 +23.6 +14.8
  Mar 11, 2017 13   SMU L 59-70 18%     21 - 11 +6.7 +5.0 -0.6
Projected Record 21.0 - 11.0 11.0 - 7.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 100.0 100.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.0%
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 100.0% 1.8% 1.8% 11.9 0.3 1.5 0.0 98.2 1.8%
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 1.8% 0.0% 1.8% 11.9 0.3 1.5 0.0 98.2 1.8%